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DreamLeague Season 22. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Klim Sani4win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
rue · 11 games
27%
Tusk
Tusk
aik · 11 games
45%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
pJonn · 10 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 9 games
56%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
rue · 8 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 8 games
13%
Puck
Puckoften banned
erase · 8 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
aik · 8 games
13%

Klim Sani4

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
274 picks · 450 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
252 picks · 393 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
245 picks · 335 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
227 picks · 317 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
218 picks · 205 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
217 picks · 103 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
199 picks · 499 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
195 picks · 369 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total68% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:22
Yellow Submarine 32%Klim Sani4 68%
The model gave 68% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 41:43.
Game 2prediction correct17:42
Yellow Submarine 32%Klim Sani4 68%
The model gave 68% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 40:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 68%
Series resultKlim Sani4 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2