DreamLeague Season 22. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Kleeloss 0:1series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
Yellow Submarine
Dark Willow
rue · 11 games
Tusk
aik · 11 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
pJonn · 10 games
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 9 games
Muertaoften banned
rue · 8 games
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 8 games
Puckoften banned
erase · 8 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
aik · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
270 picks · 445 bans
Phoenix
244 picks · 389 bans
Centaur Warrunner
239 picks · 322 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 204 bans
Treant Protector
195 picks · 368 bans
Nature's Prophet
193 picks · 485 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Team Klee
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:16
Team Klee 81%Yellow Submarine 19%
The model gave 81% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 40:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 81%
Series resultYellow Submarine 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1