DreamLeague Season 22. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4win 1:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Chimera Esportsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Klim Sani4
No games played over 6 months.
Chimera Esports
Phoenixoften banned
Chuvash · 5 games
Dark Willow
OneJey · 3 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Nande · 2 games
Huskaroften banned
re1bl · 2 games
Lion
OneJey · 2 games
Magnusoften banned
Bb3px · 2 games
Pudgeoften banned
Bb3px · 2 games
Skywrath Mage
OneJey · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
270 picks · 445 bans
Phoenix
244 picks · 389 bans
Centaur Warrunner
238 picks · 322 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 203 bans
Treant Protector
194 picks · 368 bans
Nature's Prophet
192 picks · 484 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:35
Klim Sani4 69%Chimera Esports 31%
The model gave 69% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 43:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 69%
Series resultKlim Sani4 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1