BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Ninja Penguinsloss 0:1series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Secretwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ninja Penguins
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Fayde · 1 game
Meepooften banned
Copy · 1 game
Naga Sirenoften banned
Lowskill · 1 game
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Copy · 1 game
Pudgeoften banned
Lowskill · 1 game
Silencer
MiLAN · 1 game
Weaveroften banned
MiLAN · 1 game
Team Secret
Primal Beastsignature
BOOM · 15 games
Razoroften banned
Crystallis · 14 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Crystallis · 12 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 11 games
Snapfire
Armel · 11 games
Batridersignature
yamich · 10 games
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 10 games
Dark Seersignature
Fbz · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
267 picks · 444 bans
Phoenix
243 picks · 387 bans
Centaur Warrunner
236 picks · 317 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 203 bans
Treant Protector
194 picks · 368 bans
Nature's Prophet
192 picks · 481 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% Ninja Penguins
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:31
Ninja Penguins 40%Team Secret 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 26:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistLowskill
Monkey KingCrystallis
DoomCopy
AbaddonBOOM
ViperFayde
SilencerPuppey
WeaverMiLAN
GrimstrokeEkki
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 71%
Series resultTeam Secret 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1