BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Entityloss 0:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Tickleswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Team Tickles
Enchantresssignature
Dukalis · 20 games
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 16 games
Dark Seersignature
Force · 16 games
Alchemistsignature
Ulnit · 13 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Dukalis · 12 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Force · 11 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Force · 11 games
Kunkkasignature
Lorenof · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
267 picks · 444 bans
Phoenix
242 picks · 387 bans
Centaur Warrunner
235 picks · 317 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 203 bans
Treant Protector
194 picks · 368 bans
Nature's Prophet
191 picks · 481 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 62%
Hero pool strength58% Team Tickles
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:16
Entity 63%Team Tickles 37%
The model gave 63% on Entity — the game was taken by Team Tickles in 43:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 63%
Series resultTeam Tickles 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1