BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxywin 1:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Hininyloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy
Dark Willowsignature
GH · 7 games
Disruptorsignature
GH · 7 games
Beastmastersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 6 games
Dark Seeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 5 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
GH · 5 games
Chenoften banned
KuroKy · 4 games
Enchantressoften banned
KuroKy · 4 games
Enigmaoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 4 games
Hininy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
267 picks · 444 bans
Phoenix
242 picks · 385 bans
Centaur Warrunner
235 picks · 316 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 203 bans
Treant Protector
194 picks · 368 bans
Nature's Prophet
191 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:6
Nigma Galaxy 75%Hininy 25%
The model gave 75% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 22:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 75%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1