BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionTWTeam wkwkwkloss 0:1
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:1
KZ TEAMwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team wkwkwk
Gyrocopter
Xepher · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
Handsken · 2 games
Primal Beastoften banned
s4 · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
s4 · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
Stojkov · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Lion
Handsken · 1 game
KZ TEAM
Grimstrokeoften banned
SsaSpartan · 17 games
Rubick
dEsire · 16 games
Muertaoften banned
Astral · 14 games
Shadow Demon
SsaSpartan · 13 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Otaker · 12 games
Oracle
SsaSpartan · 12 games
Pangoliersignature
W1sh- · 11 games
Vengeful Spirit
SsaSpartan · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
267 picks · 444 bans
Phoenix
242 picks · 385 bans
Centaur Warrunner
235 picks · 316 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
216 picks · 102 bans
Tusk
215 picks · 203 bans
Treant Protector
194 picks · 368 bans
Nature's Prophet
191 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 61%
Hero pool strength55% Team wkwkwk
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% KZ TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:32
Team wkwkwk 42%KZ TEAM 58%
The model gave 58% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 44:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidSmiling Knight
MeepoSupream^
Ember SpiritStojkov
Lone DruidOtaker
TechiesXepher
RazorSkyLark
LionHandsken
OracleSsaSpartan
Tinys4
ClockwerkAstral
Model check result
Model favoriteKZ TEAM · 63%
Series resultKZ TEAM 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1