Asia Pacific Predator League 2024 · BO1
result vs predictionRMREJECT Maywin 1:0
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:0
747loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
REJECT May
No games played over 6 months.
747
Luna
inYourdreaM · 3 games
Marsoften banned
db- · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
db- · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Karl · 2 games
Pudgeoften banned
Boomy · 2 games
Pugnaoften banned
Boomy · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
inYourdreaM · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
db- · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
262 picks · 443 bans
Phoenix
241 picks · 378 bans
Centaur Warrunner
229 picks · 302 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
215 picks · 100 bans
Tusk
212 picks · 199 bans
Treant Protector
192 picks · 361 bans
Kunkka
187 picks · 520 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% REJECT May
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% 747
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
REJECT May 30%747 70%
The model gave 70% on 747 — the game was taken by REJECT May.
Model check result
Model favorite747 · 70%
Series resultREJECT May 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1