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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Klim Sani4loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 5 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 3 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
RodjER · 2 games
50%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 2 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RodjER · 2 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Immersion · 2 games
50%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
RAMZES666 · 2 games
50%
Visage
Visageoften banned
kasane · 2 games
50%

Klim Sani4

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
262 picks · 441 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
240 picks · 378 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
227 picks · 300 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
215 picks · 100 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
211 picks · 199 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
190 picks · 361 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
186 picks · 519 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:33
HULIGANI 57%Klim Sani4 43%
The model gave 57% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 29:53.
Game 2prediction correct39:47
HULIGANI 57%Klim Sani4 43%
The model gave 57% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 1:08:08.
Game 3prediction correct37:34
HULIGANI 57%Klim Sani4 43%
The model gave 57% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 45:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 57%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3