Asia Pacific Predator League 2024 · BO1
result vs prediction
ZOL Esportswin 1:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ZOL Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Myth Avenue Gaming
Pangolieroften banned
xsilearn · 3 games
Dark Willow
Poloson · 2 games
Vengeful Spirit
Ponlo · 2 games
Clockwerk
Ponlo · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
Meracle · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Poloson · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Meracle · 1 game
Razoroften banned
Meracle · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
260 picks · 441 bans
Phoenix
239 picks · 374 bans
Centaur Warrunner
225 picks · 297 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
213 picks · 99 bans
Tusk
211 picks · 198 bans
Treant Protector
190 picks · 360 bans
Kunkka
186 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% ZOL Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% ZOL Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:9
ZOL Esports 52%Myth Avenue Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on ZOL Esports — the game was taken by ZOL Esports in 24:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteZOL Esports · 52%
Series resultZOL Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1