DreamLeague Season 22. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Kleeloss 0:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:1
9Pandaswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
9Pandas
Doomoften banned
Antares · 22 games
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 21 game
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 16 games
Rubick
Antares · 15 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 13 games
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 12 games
Juggernautsignature
RAMZES666 · 12 games
Undyingoften banned
Solo · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
258 picks · 437 bans
Phoenix
238 picks · 367 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Centaur Warrunner
222 picks · 290 bans
Dark Willow
212 picks · 99 bans
Tusk
211 picks · 196 bans
Treant Protector
190 picks · 359 bans
Kunkka
186 picks · 517 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 41%
Hero pool strength54% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:11
Team Klee 70%9Pandas 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 40:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 70%
Series result9Pandas 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1