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DreamLeague Season 22. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 1:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Monteloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomoften banned
Antares · 22 games
55%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 21 game
62%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 16 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 15 games
33%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 13 games
69%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 12 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
RAMZES666 · 12 games
67%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Solo · 12 games
50%

Monte

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Moonlight · 3 games
0%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Infernal · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
EcNart · 3 games
33%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Moonlight · 3 games
33%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Infernal · 3 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Moonlight · 3 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Infernal · 2 games
0%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
EcNart · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
258 picks · 436 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
238 picks · 365 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
221 picks · 290 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
212 picks · 99 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
210 picks · 196 bans
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
189 picks · 359 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
186 picks · 517 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 33%
Hero pool strength56% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
9Pandas 79%Monte 21%
The model gave 79% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 79%
Series result9Pandas 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1