?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Geek Famwin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Blacklist Internationalloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Geek Fam

Rubick
Rubicksignature
NARMAN · 8 games
88%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jing · 7 games
71%
Sven
Svensignature
Ulnit · 6 games
67%
Warlock
Warlock
Skem · 6 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Skem · 5 games
60%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
NARMAN · 5 games
40%
Wraith King
Wraith King
Natsumi · 5 games
60%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 4 games
50%

Blacklist International

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
255 picks · 431 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
226 picks · 357 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
214 picks · 284 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
208 picks · 193 bans
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
207 picks · 98 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
189 picks · 359 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
184 picks · 510 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Geek Fam
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total52% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:11
Geek Fam 48%Blacklist International 52%
The model gave 52% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 34:34.
Game 2prediction missed24:7
Geek Fam 48%Blacklist International 52%
The model gave 52% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 31:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 52%
Series resultGeek Fam 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2