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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
SIBE Teamwin 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
One Moveloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

SIBE Team

Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
klassnokruto · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 12 games
83%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
klassnokruto · 12 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
emptiness · 10 games
30%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
erase · 9 games
78%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 9 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 8 games
63%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Rein · 8 games
75%

One Move

Disruptor
Disruptor
Xakoda · 10 games
30%
Legion Commander
Legion Commandersignature
AfterLife · 9 games
89%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ainkrad · 8 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Panto · 8 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Gilgir · 7 games
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
AfterLife · 7 games
43%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Munkushi~ · 7 games
43%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Panto · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
253 picks · 431 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
223 picks · 357 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
211 picks · 283 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
208 picks · 193 bans
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
206 picks · 98 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
188 picks · 359 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
184 picks · 510 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 57%
Hero pool strength59% SIBE Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:14
SIBE Team 54%One Move 46%
The model gave 54% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 37:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangernesfeer
45% · 51 game49% · 161 game
Dragon KnightSSS
Dragon Knight
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritряф^^
59% · 160 games55% · 59 games
Razorchempik
Razor
Doom
Doomklassnokruto
54% · 185 games45% · 173 games
PhoenixPanto
Phoenix
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsunset
47% · 78 games50% · 228 games
Tinyqueezy
Tiny
Enchantress
EnchantressRein
47% · 147 games
Game 2prediction missed24:49
SIBE Team 53%One Move 47%
The model gave 53% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by One Move in 47:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunanesfeer
52% · 29 games49% · 65 games
RazorSSS
Razor
Pangolier
Pangolierряф^^
58% · 135 games45% · 41 game
Pudgechempik
Pudge
Timbersaw
Timbersawklassnokruto
55% · 99 games40% · 122 games
Windrangerqueezy
Windranger
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsunset
48% · 81 game49% · 223 games
SilencerPanto
Silencer
Disruptor
DisruptorRein
54% · 107 games
Game 3prediction missed47:31
SIBE Team 50%One Move 50%
The model gave 50% on One Move — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 46:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangernesfeer
52% · 51 game58% · 164 games
PuckSSS
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritряф^^
45% · 122 games62% · 55 games
Viperchempik
Viper
Pudge
Pudgeklassnokruto
42% · 26 games44% · 131 game
Marciqueezy
Marci
Enchantress
EnchantressRein
45% · 108 games53% · 203 games
PhoenixPanto
Phoenix
Rubick
Rubicksunset
45% · 246 games
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 56%
Series resultSIBE Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3