BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 14 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Fng · 13 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 10 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
Skywrath Magesignature
sayuw · 9 games
Spectresignature
Kiritych · 9 games
Tinysignature
Squad1x · 9 games
Klim Sani4
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
252 picks · 429 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
220 picks · 352 bans
Centaur Warrunner
206 picks · 278 bans
Dark Willow
206 picks · 97 bans
Tusk
205 picks · 191 bans
Treant Protector
188 picks · 359 bans
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:24
Virtus.pro 72%Klim Sani4 28%
The model gave 72% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 41:59.
Game 2prediction correct26:6
Virtus.pro 72%Klim Sani4 28%
The model gave 72% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 28:04.
Game 3prediction correct41:9
Virtus.pro 72%Klim Sani4 28%
The model gave 72% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 36:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 72%
Series resultVirtus.pro 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3