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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
IHC Esportswin 2:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Talon Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IHC Esports

Puck
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 5 games
80%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Se · 5 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
ace12 · 4 games
25%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
423 · 4 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Se · 3 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
eleven · 3 games
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ace12 · 3 games
67%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
423 · 3 games
33%

Talon Esports

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Yowe · 10 games
70%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
23savage · 9 games
44%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Q · 9 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Oli · 9 games
44%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Ponyo · 8 games
75%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
23savage · 8 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
23savage · 8 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
Q · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
252 picks · 427 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
216 picks · 349 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
204 picks · 191 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
203 picks · 276 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
203 picks · 97 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
188 picks · 358 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% IHC Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total54% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:27
IHC Esports 50%Talon Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on IHC Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 30:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
Bloodseeker423
49% · 150 games58% · 129 games
Faceless VoidAkashi
Faceless Void
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSancity
48% · 325 games45% · 40 games
ZeusCHYuan
Zeus
Mars
Marseleven
39% · 110 games55% · 312 games
BeastmasterWs
Beastmaster
Dark Willow
Dark Willowace12
59% · 133 games45% · 158 games
PhoenixPonyo
Phoenix
Silencer
SilencerSe
45% · 231 game54% · 310 games
BatriderJhocam
Batrider
Game 2prediction missed29:33
IHC Esports 50%Talon Esports 50%
The model gave 50% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 56:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Siren423
48% · 149 games61% · 87 games
Death ProphetWs
Death Prophet
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerSancity
45% · 32 games52% · 84 games
Faceless VoidAkashi
Faceless Void
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnereleven
41% · 114 games53% · 184 games
Ember SpiritCHYuan
Ember Spirit
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionSe
46% · 60 games62% · 78 games
LionJhocam
Lion
Techies
Techiesace12
46% · 202 games47% · 124 games
PhoenixPonyo
Phoenix
Game 3prediction missed31:11
IHC Esports 47%Talon Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 37:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinSancity
52% · 174 games47% · 195 games
LinaAkashi
Lina
Alchemist
Alchemist423
49% · 100 games51% · 384 games
BeastmasterWs
Beastmaster
Tidehunter
Tidehuntereleven
59% · 168 games49% · 394 games
Ember SpiritCHYuan
Ember Spirit
Phoenix
Phoenixace12
46% · 158 games50% · 287 games
TechiesJhocam
Techies
Rubick
RubickSe
48% · 710 games47% · 50 games
AbaddonPonyo
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 54%
Series resultIHC Esports 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3