BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalloss 0:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:1
IHC Esportswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
IHC Esports
Grimstrokeoften banned
ace12 · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 4 games
Vengeful Spirit
Se · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
Se · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
eleven · 3 games
Dark Willow
ace12 · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
423 · 3 games
Muertaoften banned
423 · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
251 picks · 424 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
216 picks · 343 bans
Tusk
203 picks · 190 bans
Centaur Warrunner
202 picks · 274 bans
Dark Willow
200 picks · 97 bans
Treant Protector
188 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% IHC Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:34
Blacklist International 65%IHC Esports 35%
The model gave 65% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 1:02:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 65%
Series resultIHC Esports 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1