?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 0:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Geek Famwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Aster

Lion
Lionsignature
Kaka · 13 games
62%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Kaka · 12 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
SumaiL · 12 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
SumaiL · 10 games
60%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Monet · 10 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Fantasy · 9 games
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Monet · 9 games
44%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Xxs · 8 games
75%

Geek Fam

Rubick
Rubicksignature
NARMAN · 8 games
88%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jing · 7 games
71%
Sven
Svensignature
Ulnit · 6 games
67%
Warlock
Warlock
Skem · 6 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Skem · 5 games
60%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
NARMAN · 5 games
40%
Wraith King
Wraith King
Natsumi · 5 games
60%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
251 picks · 424 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
216 picks · 343 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
203 picks · 190 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
202 picks · 274 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
200 picks · 97 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
188 picks · 358 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 70%
Hero pool strength53% Team Aster
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Geek Fam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:29
Team Aster 49%Geek Fam 51%
The model gave 51% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 42:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
Juggernautpoyoyo
47% · 62 games46% · 120 games
Templar AssassinNatsumi
Templar Assassin
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightEcho
49% · 161 game50% · 265 games
Ember SpiritMac
Ember Spirit
Mars
Mars生死
44% · 120 games60% · 129 games
Nature's ProphetSkem
Nature's Prophet
Techies
TechiesFrisk
49% · 234 games58% · 199 games
PugnaJing
Pugna
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonFantasy
44% · 136 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGeek Fam · 52%
Series resultGeek Fam 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1