BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 1:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Titanloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Azure Ray
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
Brewmastersignature
Chalice · 10 games
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 10 games
Batridersignature
天命 · 9 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 9 games
Doomsignature
fy · 8 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 7 games
Lunasignature
lou · 7 games
Titan
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
251 picks · 423 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
216 picks · 342 bans
Centaur Warrunner
202 picks · 274 bans
Tusk
202 picks · 190 bans
Dark Willow
200 picks · 97 bans
Treant Protector
188 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 71%
Hero pool strength58% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:14
Azure Ray 71%Titan 29%
The model gave 71% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 27:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lunalou
Morphlingflyfly
ZeusOri
MarsELeVeN
MagnusFaith_bian
Outworld DestroyerSetsu
Techiesfy
Lionmercy
Tusk天命
Nature's ProphetUndyne_
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 86%
Series resultAzure Ray 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1