DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Jakiro
Kataomi · 37 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 36 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
Muertaoften banned
Save- · 24 games
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
Windrangersignature
Save- · 21 game
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
REKONIX
Tiny
inYourdreaM · 21 game
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 14 games
Windrangeroften banned
TraVins · 14 games
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 13 games
Kezsignature
TraVins · 13 games
Muertasignature
dalul · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
506 picks · 301 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 574 bans
Tiny
437 picks · 351 bans
Jakiro
409 picks · 314 bans
Rubick
359 picks · 196 bans
Tusk
357 picks · 313 bans
Puck
341 picks · 842 bans
Beastmaster
335 picks · 841 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:10
BETBOOM TEAM 79%REKONIX 21%
The model gave 79% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyKiritych
KezTraVins
Storm SpiritgpK~
TimbersawFbz
TidehunterMieRo
Primal BeastinYourdreaM
RubickSave-
WarlockVarizh
Winter WyvernKataomi
Nyx Assassindalul
Game 2prediction correct28:14
BETBOOM TEAM 77%REKONIX 23%
The model gave 77% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerKiritych
TerrorbladeTraVins
LycanMieRo
LargoFbz
Monkey KinggpK~
Ember SpiritinYourdreaM
RubickSave-
Hoodwinkdalul
LichKataomi
SilencerVarizh
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 92%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2