BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionDDuBuwin 1:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
DuBu
Bristlebackoften banned
Speeed · 3 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Adzantick · 3 games
Pugnaoften banned
DuBu · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
DuBu · 3 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Speeed · 2 games
Dazzleoften banned
Adzantick · 2 games
Enchantressoften banned
DuBu · 2 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
MSS · 2 games
Silk
Muertaoften banned
DaaD- · 3 games
Dark Willow
d1smar · 2 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Lissex · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Lissex · 2 games
Phantom Assassin
DaaD- · 2 games
Skywrath Mage
d1smar · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Lissex · 1 game
Death Prophet
Lissex · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
249 picks · 421 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
213 picks · 328 bans
Tusk
198 picks · 184 bans
Dark Willow
196 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
194 picks · 267 bans
Treant Protector
187 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% DuBu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Silk
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
DuBu 49%Silk 51%
The model gave 51% on Silk — the game was taken by DuBu.
Model check result
Model favoriteSilk · 51%
Series resultDuBu 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1