South Team vs Los Magicards — prediction BDD2ОК · Dota 2

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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

South Teamloss 0:2

series probability

46%54%

probability at match start · final 0:2

Los Magicardswin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

South Team

No games played over 6 months.

Los Magicards

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Grimstroke

247 picks · 419 bans

52%

Muerta

225 picks · 317 bans

50%

Phoenix

213 picks · 325 bans

49%

Tusk

197 picks · 181 bans

46%

Dark Willow

195 picks · 97 bans

53%

Centaur Warrunner

194 picks · 267 bans

49%

Treant Protector

185 picks · 358 bans

53%

Kunkka

177 picks · 504 bans

59%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%

Hero pool strength50% South Team

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total54% Los Magicards

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct28:33

South Team 49%Los Magicards 51%

The model gave 51% on Los Magicards — the game was taken by Los Magicards in 35:38.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo