BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
MarsBet Teamwin 1:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Chipikiloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MarsBet Team
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Mr. Luck · 15 games
Dark Willow
LeBronDota · 12 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Otaker · 10 games
Gyrocopter
Mitch · 9 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Mr. Luck · 8 games
Invokersignature
Jeezy · 8 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
LeBronDota · 8 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Mr. Luck · 8 games
Chipiki
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
246 picks · 419 bans
Muerta
224 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
211 picks · 323 bans
Tusk
196 picks · 181 bans
Dark Willow
195 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 265 bans
Treant Protector
185 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 503 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Chipiki
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% MarsBet Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
MarsBet Team 66%Chipiki 34%
The model gave 66% on MarsBet Team — the game was taken by MarsBet Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteMarsBet Team · 66%
Series resultMarsBet Team 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1