BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Bright
Doomoften banned
Irving · 6 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Undyne_ · 5 games
Ember Spirit
phoenix · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
phoenix · 5 games
Silencer
Undyne_ · 5 games
Disruptor
Undyne_ · 4 games
Magnusoften banned
Irving · 4 games
Muertaoften banned
Undyne_ · 4 games
MAG.Indonesia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
246 picks · 419 bans
Muerta
224 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
211 picks · 323 bans
Tusk
196 picks · 181 bans
Dark Willow
195 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 265 bans
Treant Protector
185 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 503 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Team Bright
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Team Bright
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Bright 67%MAG.Indonesia 33%
The model gave 67% on Team Bright — the game was taken by MAG.Indonesia.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bright · 67%
Series resultMAG.Indonesia 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1