BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Titanwin 1:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Dark Horseloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Titan
No games played over 6 months.
Dark Horse
Dark Willow
sheep · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
sheep · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
246 picks · 419 bans
Muerta
224 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
211 picks · 323 bans
Tusk
196 picks · 181 bans
Dark Willow
195 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 265 bans
Treant Protector
185 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 503 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Dark Horse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Titan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Titan 66%Dark Horse 34%
The model gave 66% on Titan — the game was taken by Titan.
Model check result
Model favoriteTitan · 66%
Series resultTitan 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1