BetBoom Turbo Defense · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamwin 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Goodoqloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik Team
No games played over 6 months.
Team Goodoq
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
262 picks · 434 bans
Muerta
231 picks · 320 bans
Phoenix
222 picks · 328 bans
Dark Willow
205 picks · 105 bans
Tusk
204 picks · 184 bans
Centaur Warrunner
199 picks · 273 bans
Treant Protector
194 picks · 388 bans
Kunkka
183 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Rostik Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Team Goodoq
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rostik Team 50%Team Goodoq 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Goodoq — the game was taken by Team Goodoq.
Game 2prediction missed
Rostik Team 50%Team Goodoq 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Goodoq — the game was taken by Rostik Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Rostik Team 50%Team Goodoq 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Goodoq — the game was taken by Rostik Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Goodoq · 50%
Series resultRostik Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3