European Pro League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
SIBE Teamloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Klim Sani4win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SIBE Team
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 12 games
Primal Beastsignature
erase · 12 games
Brewmastersignature
klassnokruto · 11 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 9 games
Pangoliersignature
erase · 8 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Rein · 7 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Rein · 7 games
Night Stalkersignature
klassnokruto · 6 games
Klim Sani4
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
270 picks · 434 bans
Muerta
236 picks · 326 bans
Dark Willow
220 picks · 114 bans
Phoenix
217 picks · 322 bans
Treant Protector
203 picks · 411 bans
Centaur Warrunner
202 picks · 272 bans
Tusk
202 picks · 182 bans
Kunkka
189 picks · 531 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% SIBE Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:27
SIBE Team 54%Klim Sani4 46%
The model gave 54% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 19:01.
Game 2prediction missed18:43
SIBE Team 54%Klim Sani4 46%
The model gave 54% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 33:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 54%
Series resultKlim Sani4 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2