?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Ticklesloss 1:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Kleewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Tickles

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Dukalis · 18 games
83%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Force · 13 games
62%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Ulnit · 11 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
NARMAN · 10 games
70%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Lorenof · 10 games
70%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Shad · 10 games
60%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
BOOM · 10 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Force · 9 games
67%

Team Klee

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
276 picks · 442 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
238 picks · 326 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
231 picks · 114 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
223 picks · 330 bans
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
211 picks · 429 bans
58%
Tusk
Tusk
205 picks · 179 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
201 picks · 271 bans
49%
Kunkka
Kunkka
201 picks · 538 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 65%
Hero pool strength59% Team Tickles
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Tickles
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:34
Team Tickles 60%Team Klee 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Tickles — the game was taken by Team Klee in 43:45.
Game 2prediction correct35:19
Team Tickles 60%Team Klee 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Tickles — the game was taken by Team Tickles in 38:05.
Game 3prediction missed14:17
Team Tickles 60%Team Klee 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Tickles — the game was taken by Team Klee in 34:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tickles · 60%
Series resultTeam Klee 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3