Школьная лига 2023 · BO3
result vs predictionГ№Гимназия №1loss 1:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
М"МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Гимназия №1
No games played over 6 months.
МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
273 picks · 441 bans
Muerta
235 picks · 327 bans
Dark Willow
234 picks · 114 bans
Phoenix
224 picks · 330 bans
Treant Protector
215 picks · 432 bans
Tusk
205 picks · 178 bans
Kunkka
203 picks · 542 bans
Centaur Warrunner
199 picks · 269 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Гимназия №1
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Гимназия №1 44%МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" 56%
The model gave 56% on МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" — the game was taken by Гимназия №1.
Game 2prediction correct
Гимназия №1 44%МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" 56%
The model gave 56% on МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" — the game was taken by МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3".
Game 3prediction correct
Гимназия №1 44%МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" 56%
The model gave 56% on МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" — the game was taken by МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3".
Model check result
Model favoriteМАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" · 56%
Series resultМАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3