Школьная лига 2023 · BO3
result vs predictionМ"МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"win 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Л«Лицей «Технический»loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"
No games played over 6 months.
Лицей «Технический»
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
272 picks · 440 bans
Dark Willow
235 picks · 114 bans
Muerta
235 picks · 327 bans
Phoenix
223 picks · 326 bans
Treant Protector
218 picks · 440 bans
Tusk
205 picks · 173 bans
Kunkka
204 picks · 541 bans
Centaur Warrunner
195 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3"
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" 60%Лицей «Технический» 40%
The model gave 60% on МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" — the game was taken by МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3".
Game 2prediction correct
МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" 60%Лицей «Технический» 40%
The model gave 60% on МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" — the game was taken by МАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3".
Model check result
Model favoriteМАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" · 60%
Series resultМАОУ "ЛИЦЕЙ № 3" 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2