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European Pro League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atlas Burdenloss 1:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Kleewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Atlas Burden

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
chempik · 6 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Hellscream · 5 games
20%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Panto · 5 games
40%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Panto · 4 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Hellscream · 4 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
SSS · 4 games
25%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Hellscream · 4 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Worick · 3 games
0%

Team Klee

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
273 picks · 434 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
234 picks · 326 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
232 picks · 113 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
219 picks · 324 bans
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
217 picks · 444 bans
57%
Kunkka
Kunkka
203 picks · 538 bans
60%
Tusk
Tusk
203 picks · 171 bans
48%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
195 picks · 405 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 63%
Hero pool strength57% Team Klee
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total70% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:23
Atlas Burden 30%Team Klee 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Atlas Burden in 53:54.
Game 2prediction correct21:27
Atlas Burden 30%Team Klee 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 39:53.
Game 3prediction correct15:27
Atlas Burden 30%Team Klee 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 41:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 70%
Series resultTeam Klee 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3