?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4loss 1:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
KZ TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Klim Sani4

No games played over 6 months.

KZ TEAM

Rubick
Rubick
dEsire · 16 games
38%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
SsaSpartan · 14 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
SsaSpartan · 11 games
55%
Oracle
Oracle
SsaSpartan · 11 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
W1sh- · 11 games
64%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
SkyLark · 10 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
SsaSpartan · 10 games
40%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
SkyLark · 10 games
30%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
274 picks · 430 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
231 picks · 112 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
231 picks · 326 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
221 picks · 451 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
218 picks · 323 bans
46%
Kunkka
Kunkka
202 picks · 527 bans
60%
Tusk
Tusk
200 picks · 170 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 259 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% KZ TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:24
Klim Sani4 49%KZ TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 45:37.
Game 2prediction correct39:16
Klim Sani4 49%KZ TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 51:46.
Game 3prediction correct20:24
Klim Sani4 49%KZ TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 41:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteKZ TEAM · 51%
Series resultKZ TEAM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3