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European Pro League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:2
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Kleewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere Junior

Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Riddys · 18 games
67%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
pma · 16 games
69%
Marci
Marcisignature
Daze · 14 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 14 games
36%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
pma · 13 games
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Niku · 10 games
20%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
gotthejuice · 10 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
gotthejuice · 10 games
30%

Team Klee

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
277 picks · 429 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
231 picks · 326 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
230 picks · 112 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
222 picks · 455 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
219 picks · 324 bans
46%
Kunkka
Kunkka
203 picks · 525 bans
60%
Tusk
Tusk
199 picks · 170 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 258 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total73% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:16
Natus Vincere Junior 27%Team Klee 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 39:46.
Game 2prediction correct12:33
Natus Vincere Junior 27%Team Klee 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 29:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 73%
Series resultTeam Klee 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2