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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Secretloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 28 games
61%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Seleri · 26 games
54%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 22 games
68%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
dyrachyo · 22 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 22 games
64%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Ace · 21 game
62%
Techies
Techiessignature
tOfu · 21 game
62%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 20 games
65%

Team Secret

Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Fbz · 15 games
73%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Crystallis · 14 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 13 games
46%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Crystallis · 13 games
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Armel · 13 games
31%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 12 games
33%
Batrider
Batridersignature
yamich · 11 games
64%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Fbz · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
275 picks · 424 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
231 picks · 110 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
229 picks · 324 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
221 picks · 455 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
217 picks · 321 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
200 picks · 522 bans
60%
Tusk
Tusk
198 picks · 168 bans
48%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
192 picks · 408 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 59%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total79% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:2
Gaimin Gladiators 79%Team Secret 21%
The model gave 79% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 11:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 79%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1