Global Esports Games 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
Сербияloss 0:2series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Малайзияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Сербия
No games played over 6 months.
Малайзия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
272 picks · 417 bans
Dark Willow
231 picks · 109 bans
Muerta
228 picks · 322 bans
Treant Protector
220 picks · 451 bans
Phoenix
214 picks · 317 bans
Kunkka
198 picks · 513 bans
Tusk
195 picks · 163 bans
Nature's Prophet
191 picks · 406 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Сербия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Малайзия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:27
Сербия 23%Малайзия 77%
The model gave 77% on Малайзия — the game was taken by Малайзия in 31:57.
Game 2prediction correct49:35
Сербия 23%Малайзия 77%
The model gave 77% on Малайзия — the game was taken by Малайзия in 1:02:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteМалайзия · 77%
Series resultМалайзия 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2