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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Rayloss 1:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 14 games
79%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 12 games
83%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
天命 · 12 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Chalice · 9 games
67%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
lou · 9 games
78%
Doom
Doomsignature
fy · 8 games
88%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Somnus · 8 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Chalice · 7 games
86%

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 32 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 30 games
73%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 24 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Save- · 22 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 22 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 21 game
71%
Legion Commander
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 21 game
67%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
272 picks · 398 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
229 picks · 110 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
215 picks · 453 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
214 picks · 306 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
194 picks · 503 bans
61%
Tusk
Tusk
192 picks · 156 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
190 picks · 399 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Azure Ray
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:26
Azure Ray 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
Weaverlou
42% · 80 games49% · 120 games
TerrorbladeNightfall
Terrorblade
Slardar
SlardarXm
51% · 21 game48% · 77 games
KunkkagpK~
Kunkka
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
43% · 138 games56% · 102 games
MagnusPure~
Magnus
Silencer
Silencer天命
49% · 196 games54% · 62 games
GrimstrokeSave-
Grimstroke
Zeus
ZeusXinQ
51% · 88 games60% · 162 games
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction missed28:10
Azure Ray 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 36:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerlou
49% · 65 games48% · 229 games
TerrorbladeNightfall
Terrorblade
Slardar
SlardarXm
53% · 14 games47% · 115 games
KunkkagpK~
Kunkka
Magnus
MagnusXxs
42% · 154 games55% · 163 games
TidehunterPure~
Tidehunter
Tiny
TinyXinQ
49% · 307 games56% · 228 games
LinaSave-
Lina
Rubick
Rubick天命
47% · 551 game59% · 356 games
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2