ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalloss 0:2series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 26 games
Undyingoften banned
Seleri · 26 games
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 22 games
Dark Seersignature
Ace · 22 games
Morphlingoften banned
dyrachyo · 22 games
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 22 games
Techiessignature
tOfu · 21 game
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
270 picks · 394 bans
Dark Willow
227 picks · 110 bans
Muerta
223 picks · 317 bans
Treant Protector
215 picks · 453 bans
Phoenix
212 picks · 304 bans
Kunkka
193 picks · 499 bans
Tusk
191 picks · 155 bans
Nature's Prophet
189 picks · 398 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:24
Blacklist International 11%Gaimin Gladiators 89%
The model gave 89% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 40:55.
Game 2prediction correct28:16
Blacklist International 11%Gaimin Gladiators 89%
The model gave 89% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 38:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 89%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2