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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 31 game
61%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 28 games
68%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 27 games
59%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 25 games
72%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 23 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
52%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 21 game
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
62%

Tundra Esports

Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 18 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 18 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Sneyking · 14 games
36%
Techies
Techies
Sneyking · 14 games
43%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Aui_2000 · 13 games
31%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
33 · 13 games
62%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Sneyking · 12 games
42%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Skiter · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
264 picks · 390 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
227 picks · 111 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
220 picks · 316 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
215 picks · 457 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
211 picks · 298 bans
44%
Kunkka
Kunkka
192 picks · 490 bans
61%
Tusk
Tusk
191 picks · 149 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
187 picks · 392 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:33
9Pandas 48%Tundra Esports 52%
The model gave 52% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 24:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaV-Tune
50% · 56 games54% · 188 games
TerrorbladeTimado
Terrorblade
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightRAMZES666
50% · 92 games44% · 63 games
Zeusbryle-
Zeus
Pangolier
Pangolierkiyotaka
50% · 211 games49% · 50 games
Wraith Kingkasane
Wraith King
Undying
UndyingSolo
49% · 240 games53% · 54 games
ChenWhitemon
Chen
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeAfoninje
54% · 58 games48% · 302 games
SnapfireImmersion
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct21:42
9Pandas 45%Tundra Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 36:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerV-Tune
54% · 74 games51% · 52 games
Wraith Kingkasane
Wraith King
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightRAMZES666
48% · 99 games58% · 30 games
Necrophosbryle-
Necrophos
Windranger
Windrangerkiyotaka
54% · 37 games52% · 98 games
SlarkTimado
Slark
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeSolo
52% · 124 games54% · 236 games
Nature's ProphetWhitemon
Nature's Prophet
Tusk
TuskAfoninje
43% · 261 game43% · 179 games
PhoenixImmersion
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 57%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2