Randomania по Dota 2 · BO1
result vs predictionTVTeam VeRsutaloss 0:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TBTeam BAXAwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team VeRsuta
No games played over 6 months.
Team BAXA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
511 picks · 296 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 572 bans
Tiny
438 picks · 353 bans
Jakiro
432 picks · 338 bans
Tusk
372 picks · 322 bans
Rubick
348 picks · 184 bans
Beastmaster
347 picks · 839 bans
Puck
347 picks · 846 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team VeRsuta
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team VeRsuta
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team VeRsuta 60%Team BAXA 40%
The model gave 60% on Team VeRsuta — the game was taken by Team BAXA.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam VeRsuta · 60%
Series resultTeam BAXA 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1