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European Pro League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Hryvniawin 2:1
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team_Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Hryvnia

No games played over 6 months.

Team_Team

Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 3 games
33%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
EcNart · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 2 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Crystallize · 2 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 2 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
EcNart · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axe
Infernal · 1 game
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
249 picks · 110 bans
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
248 picks · 300 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
235 picks · 255 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
212 picks · 457 bans
63%
Phoenix
Phoenix
208 picks · 276 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
206 picks · 419 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
184 picks · 284 bans
46%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
181 picks · 176 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Team_Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Hryvnia 28%Team_Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Team_Team — the game was taken by Team_Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Hryvnia 28%Team_Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Team_Team — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia.
Game 3prediction missed
Team Hryvnia 28%Team_Team 72%
The model gave 72% on Team_Team — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam_Team · 72%
Series resultTeam Hryvnia 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3