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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Mad Kingsloss 1:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Mad Kings

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Gardick · 10 games
60%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Genek · 10 games
70%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Lumière · 10 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 9 games
44%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Michael · 9 games
33%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Lumière · 9 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Gardick · 9 games
89%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Vitaly · 8 games
63%

Infinity Esports

Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Prada · 7 games
57%
Underlord
Underlord
Frank · 6 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Kiri · 5 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 4 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
25%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 4 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Prada · 3 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Frank · 3 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
229 picks · 272 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
228 picks · 107 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
223 picks · 271 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
194 picks · 415 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
194 picks · 257 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
193 picks · 415 bans
64%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
174 picks · 278 bans
47%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
172 picks · 173 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 46%
Hero pool strength57% Mad Kings
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total52% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Mad Kings 48%Infinity Esports 52%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Mad Kings 48%Infinity Esports 52%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Mad Kings.
Game 3prediction correct
Mad Kings 48%Infinity Esports 52%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 52%
Series resultInfinity Esports 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3