?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team_Teamloss 0:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9Pandaswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team_Team

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
EcNart · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 2 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Crystallize · 2 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 2 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Moonlight · 2 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
EcNart · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axe
Infernal · 1 game
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 1 game
0%

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 33 games
61%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 32 games
59%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 30 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
58%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 25 games
72%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 24 games
46%
Windranger
Windranger
kiyotaka · 23 games
57%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 22 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
223 picks · 272 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
203 picks · 90 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
202 picks · 232 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
185 picks · 399 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
174 picks · 232 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
170 picks · 250 bans
57%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
169 picks · 171 bans
59%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
166 picks · 377 bans
65%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 35%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:26
Team_Team 36%9Pandas 64%
The model gave 64% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 37:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidCrystallize
49% · 15 games43% · 34 games
LunaV-Tune
Luna
Clinkz
ClinkzMoonlight
48% · 46 games46% · 66 games
Dragon KnightRAMZES666
Dragon Knight
Primal Beast
Primal BeastInfernal
56% · 221 game53% · 225 games
Pangolierkiyotaka
Pangolier
Tusk
TuskEcNart
48% · 220 games49% · 25 games
WeaverAfoninje
Weaver
51% · 152 games
EnchantressRodjER
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct19:38
Team_Team 35%9Pandas 65%
The model gave 65% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 34:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingInfernal
51% · 23 games53% · 71 game
AlchemistRAMZES666
Alchemist
Slark
SlarkCrystallize
50% · 90 games40% · 20 games
Zeuskiyotaka
Zeus
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMoonlight
42% · 118 games47% · 89 games
Templar AssassinV-Tune
Templar Assassin
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeEcNart
52% · 58 games61% · 96 games
Treant ProtectorRodjER
Treant Protector
60% · 13 games
BaneAfoninje
Bane
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 78%
Series result9Pandas 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2