ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Fart Studiosloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ppomoikawin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fart Studios
Batrideroften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
Clockwerk
Jenkins · 3 games
Dragon Knight
BSJ · 3 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Newsham · 3 games
Techiesoften banned
Jenkins · 3 games
Doomoften banned
monkeys-forever · 2 games
Iooften banned
Newsham · 2 games
Juggernaut
BSJ · 2 games
pomoika
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
216 picks · 271 bans
Grimstroke
184 picks · 190 bans
Pangolier
183 picks · 388 bans
Dark Willow
178 picks · 75 bans
Earthshaker
169 picks · 167 bans
Sven
169 picks · 248 bans
Earth Spirit
153 picks · 246 bans
Phoenix
152 picks · 205 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Fart Studios
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% pomoika
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:30
Fart Studios 49%pomoika 51%
The model gave 51% on pomoika — the game was taken by pomoika in 25:46.
Game 2prediction correct8:31
Fart Studios 49%pomoika 51%
The model gave 51% on pomoika — the game was taken by pomoika in 18:26.
Model check result
Model favoritepomoika · 51%
Series resultpomoika 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2