ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
B8 Esportswin 1:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Fiery Bubbleloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
B8 Esports
Rubick
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Techiesoften banned
Lodine · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Funn1k · 8 games
Batrideroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dendi · 7 games
Skywrath Magesignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 7 games
Windranger
StoneBank · 7 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
StoneBank · 5 games
Fiery Bubble
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
216 picks · 271 bans
Grimstroke
184 picks · 189 bans
Pangolier
183 picks · 388 bans
Dark Willow
178 picks · 75 bans
Earthshaker
169 picks · 167 bans
Sven
169 picks · 248 bans
Earth Spirit
153 picks · 245 bans
Phoenix
152 picks · 205 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Fiery Bubble
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% B8 Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:28
B8 Esports 64%Fiery Bubble 36%
The model gave 64% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 46:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Esports · 64%
Series resultB8 Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1