ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
BoroTbIpuloss 0:1series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Atlas Burdenwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BoroTbIpu
No games played over 6 months.
Atlas Burden
Dark Willow
OneJey · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Panto · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
Panto · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
nicky`cool · 1 game
Pugna
OneJey · 1 game
Spectreoften banned
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Svenoften banned
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Tiny
nicky`cool · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
216 picks · 271 bans
Grimstroke
184 picks · 185 bans
Pangolier
183 picks · 387 bans
Dark Willow
176 picks · 74 bans
Earthshaker
169 picks · 167 bans
Sven
169 picks · 248 bans
Earth Spirit
152 picks · 245 bans
Phoenix
151 picks · 205 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Atlas Burden
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Atlas Burden
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
BoroTbIpu 28%Atlas Burden 72%
The model gave 72% on Atlas Burden — the game was taken by Atlas Burden.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlas Burden · 72%
Series resultAtlas Burden 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1