ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Go alongwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Go along
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
215 picks · 271 bans
Pangolier
180 picks · 382 bans
Grimstroke
178 picks · 169 bans
Sven
170 picks · 247 bans
Dark Willow
168 picks · 70 bans
Earthshaker
166 picks · 165 bans
Earth Spirit
150 picks · 238 bans
Phoenix
148 picks · 193 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:28
Invictus Gaming 92%Go along 8%
The model gave 92% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Go along in 48:42.
Game 2prediction missed26:41
Invictus Gaming 92%Go along 8%
The model gave 92% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Go along in 44:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 92%
Series resultGo along 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2