ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Yangzhiganluwin 1:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Ppomoikaloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangzhiganlu
No games played over 6 months.
pomoika
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
215 picks · 271 bans
Pangolier
180 picks · 377 bans
Grimstroke
178 picks · 163 bans
Sven
170 picks · 247 bans
Dark Willow
166 picks · 70 bans
Earthshaker
166 picks · 164 bans
Earth Spirit
150 picks · 237 bans
Phoenix
148 picks · 191 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Yangzhiganlu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Yangzhiganlu
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:11
Yangzhiganlu 58%pomoika 42%
The model gave 58% on Yangzhiganlu — the game was taken by Yangzhiganlu in 32:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangzhiganlu · 58%
Series resultYangzhiganlu 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1