ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Kleewin 1:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:0
MoneyMakersloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
MoneyMakers
Beastmasteroften banned
Bb3px · 14 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 9 games
Techiesoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Egor · 8 games
Rubick
Bignum · 8 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Bignum · 8 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Egor · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
215 picks · 271 bans
Pangolier
180 picks · 375 bans
Grimstroke
178 picks · 157 bans
Sven
169 picks · 247 bans
Dark Willow
166 picks · 70 bans
Earthshaker
166 picks · 164 bans
Earth Spirit
150 picks · 236 bans
Phoenix
146 picks · 189 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% MoneyMakers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:28
Team Klee 54%MoneyMakers 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Klee — the game was taken by MoneyMakers in 33:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 54%
Series resultTeam Klee 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1