European Pro League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulseloss 0:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KZ TEAMwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Night Pulse
No games played over 6 months.
KZ TEAM
Rubick
dEsire · 16 games
Oraclesignature
SsaSpartan · 13 games
Mirana
dEsire · 11 games
Shadow Demon
SsaSpartan · 11 games
Legion Commandersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
Lycanoften banned
SkyLark · 10 games
Pangoliersignature
W1sh- · 10 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
W1sh- · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
215 picks · 270 bans
Pangolier
181 picks · 376 bans
Grimstroke
173 picks · 155 bans
Sven
170 picks · 249 bans
Dark Willow
166 picks · 72 bans
Earthshaker
166 picks · 164 bans
Earth Spirit
153 picks · 232 bans
Phoenix
146 picks · 187 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% KZ TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% KZ TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Night Pulse 21%KZ TEAM 79%
The model gave 79% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM.
Game 2prediction correct
Night Pulse 21%KZ TEAM 79%
The model gave 79% on KZ TEAM — the game was taken by KZ TEAM.
Model check result
Model favoriteKZ TEAM · 79%
Series resultKZ TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2