European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxloss 0:2series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MODUSwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 27 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 24 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 23 games
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 20 games
Sand Kingoften banned
mellojul · 20 games
Dark Willowsignature
QBFY · 19 games
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 19 games
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 19 games
MODUS
Rubick
mrls · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
elmo^^ · 6 games
Muertaoften banned
bottega · 5 games
Ringmaster
mrls · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
Tiny
bottega · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
elmo^^ · 4 games
Hoodwink
mrls · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
497 picks · 275 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 559 bans
Jakiro
453 picks · 359 bans
Tiny
448 picks · 348 bans
Tusk
385 picks · 328 bans
Beastmaster
351 picks · 834 bans
Puck
346 picks · 844 bans
Rubick
323 picks · 172 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 35%
Hero pool strength59% Team Lynx
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total82% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:42
Team Lynx 71%MODUS 29%
The model gave 71% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by MODUS in 48:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King7jesu
Kezbottega
Queen of Painmellojul
ViperMirele
AxeVladikTheHtiviy
Tidehunterelmo^^
Winter Wyvernkreker
Techiesprblms
RubickQBFY
Hoodwinkkasane
Game 2prediction missed36:42
Team Lynx 69%MODUS 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by MODUS in 56:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer7jesu
Windrangerbottega
Kunkkamellojul
Void SpiritMirele
TidehunterVladikTheHtiviy
Underlordelmo^^
HoodwinkQBFY
Clockwerkprblms
Techieskreker
Banekasane
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 82%
Series resultMODUS 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2